Poisson Distribution Calculator

Calculate Poisson probabilities for events occurring in a fixed interval.

Probability
Enter λ and k
P(X = k)
P(X ≤ k)
Mean (μ)
Variance (σ²)

Poisson Distribution

The Poisson distribution models the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval, given a known average rate.

Probability Mass Function

P(X = k) = (λ^k × e^(-λ)) / k!

Properties

  • Mean: E(X) = λ
  • Variance: Var(X) = λ
  • Support: k = 0, 1, 2, ...

Applications

ApplicationExample
Call CentersCalls per hour
Quality ControlDefects per batch
TrafficCars at intersection per minute
BiologyMutations per DNA segment

Conditions for Poisson

  • Events occur independently
  • Rate is constant
  • Two events cannot occur at exactly the same instant
  • Events are rare relative to the interval

Frequently Asked Questions

When to use Poisson vs Binomial?
Use Poisson when counting events over time/space with a known average rate. Use Binomial when you have a fixed number of trials with two outcomes.
What is the relationship between Poisson and Exponential?
If events follow a Poisson process with rate λ, the time between events follows an Exponential distribution with parameter λ.